Optimal Risk Sharing with Optimistic and Pessimistic Decision Makers

نویسندگان

  • Aloisio Araujo
  • Jean-Marc Bonnisseau
  • Alain Chateauneuf
  • Rodrigo Novinski
  • Aloisio ARAUJO
  • Jean-Marc BONNISSEAU
  • Alain CHATEAUNEUF
  • Rodrigo NOVINSKI
چکیده

We prove that under mild conditions individually rational Pareto optima will exist even in presence of non-convex preferences. We consider decision makers dealing with a countable flow of payoffs or choosing among financial assets whose outcomes depend on the realization of a countable set of states of the world. Our conditions for the existence of Pareto optima can be interpreted as a requirement of impatience in the first context and of some pessimism or not unrealistic optimism in the second context. A non-existence example is provided when, in the second context, some decision maker is too optimistic. We furthermore show that at an individually rational Pareto optimum at most one strictly optimistic decision maker will avoid ruin at each state or date. Considering a risky context this entails that even if risk averters will share risk in a comonotonic way as usual, at most one classical strong risk lover will avoid ruin at each state or date. Finally some examples illustrate circumstances when a risk averter could take advantage of sharing risk with a risk lover rather than with a risk averter. 1 Documents de Travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 2015.71

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Inherent Biases in Decision Support Systems: The Influence of Optimistic and Pessimistic DSS on Choice, Affect, and Attitudes

This study investigates the influence of a decision aid on decision makers’ model-based choices, emotions during the use of the model, and attitudes towards the model. A time allocation decision model was biased to purposefully provide optimistic or pessimistic criterion levels, on which subjects based their allocations. The results of our experiment indicate that the degree of ‘‘optimism’’ and...

متن کامل

Supplier selection with multi-criteria group decision making based on interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets (case study on a project-based company)

Supplier selection can be considered as a complicated multi criteria decision-making problem.In this paper the problem of supplier selection is studied in the presence of conflicting evaluations and insufficient information about the criteria and different attitudes of decision makers towards the risk. Most of fuzzy approaches used in multi-criteria group decision making (MCGDM) are non-intuiti...

متن کامل

Investment behavior under ambiguity: The case of pessimistic decision makers

We de…ne pessimistic, respectively optimistic, investors as CEU (Choquet expected utility) decision makers who update their pessimistic, respectively optimistic, beliefs according to a pessimistic (Dempster-Shafer), respectively optimistic, update rule. This paper then demonstrates that, in contrast to optimistic investors, pessimistic investors may strictly prefer investing in an illiquid asse...

متن کامل

Why Unexpectedly Positive Experiences Make Decision Makers More Optimistic: An Explanation

Experiments show that unexpectedly positive experiences make decision makers more optimistic. However, there seems to be no convincing explanation for this experimental fact. In this paper, we show that this experimental phenomenon can be naturally explained within the traditional utility-based decision theory. 1 Formulation of the Problem Experimental phenomenon. Experiments show that unexpect...

متن کامل

Estimating Most Productive Scale Size with Double Frontiers in Data Envelopment Analysis using Negative Data

In this paper, it is assumed that the “Decision Making Units“( ) are consist of positive and negative input and output. Firstly, the optimistic and pessimistic models have been suggested by using negative data and then units with most productive scale size are measured in optimistic and pessimistic models. These productive values are compared with double frontiers and Hurwicz’s Criterion to obt...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2011